Bo Hu Lun Jin:8.30黄金暴涨暴跌该如何把握?别让你的亏损成为自然稳健为主
already existing 245 Secondary Reading2019-8-30 20:58
Seizing the current possibilities(Trading opportunities)之后,获得的是一个未来盈利的预期。这个预期可能实现,也可能不实现,可能实现得没有预期那么好,也可能超预期实现。既然任何分析方法获得的都只是一种可能、一个预期,所以在把握当下进行交易的时候,应该还包含一个完备的防范方案,包括常规的进场离场的设计,也包括行情变异或突发行情发生的应对方法等。我们说一个人技术水平高,无非是他经过分析得出的可能性概率高,无非是他把握当下交易机会的节奏好,无非是他预期未来行情走势实现的概率高,无非是他风险控制得好、最终结果比较理想。
黄金走势分析及操作建议:
黄金隔夜持续跌破近期的支撑位1532、1528and1525一线最低触及1520一线,呈现了连续性下跌,结束了一周的震荡,能不能延续跌势,今天是关键,1520位置也比较关键,破则继续跌,不破依旧是震荡。
从日线上看,日线收大阴线,高点破前高,低点破前低,进一步表现空头强势,布林带开口向上,均线多头排列,运行在金价下方,形成支撑,在趋势指标上显示,金价运行在零轴上方,多头动能持续放量中,在震荡指标上,指标运行在50上方,拐头向下,kd指标高位死叉向下放散中,整体表现多头趋势高位遇阻。
黄金昨日才表现一定的空间回撤,同时失守了1525的强弱临界点,由强转弱,带动附图MACD继续背离死叉向下调整。日线看回调。今日月线周线收官之作,月线大阳月收一点上影线的迹象,也是偏向回落收盘的迹象,只是看空间大小问题。黄金4小时二次探高不破高,最终回落收低,开始带动短期均线拐头下压,昨日一直强调高空不追多为主思路,综合来看博虎论金认为,黄金在本周的走势中,维持上涨趋势,在上升趋势线上方震荡上涨,在周四尾盘下跌,下破上涨趋势线,不敢说多头趋势改变,但是至少可以说这波上涨结束。综合来看,今日晚间操作思路上博虎论金个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注1533-1535Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1516-1518Frontline support.
1Gold rebounded to1533-1535Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1523-1525frontline;
2Gold callback to1516-1518Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1524-1526frontline;
Analysis of crude oil trend and operational suggestions:
从日线来看,震荡;油价初步站稳在布林线中轨上方,并初步顶破了下行通道和200日均线阻力,MACDGolden fork,KDJ金叉,后市油价偏向进一步试探布林线上轨58.20附近阻力;短线的话,上周高点57.47附近也还存在一些阻力。目标布林线轨道水平运行,油价能否顶破布林线上轨58.20附近阻力,还有待观察。如果强势上破,则增加中线看涨信号;该位置上方进一步阻力在7month31Daily high point58.82附近。下方留意布林线中轨55.34附近支撑,博虎论金认为若意外回落至该位置下方,则削弱后市看涨信号;20The daily moving average is supported by54.99附;周二低点支撑在53.69附近;布林线下轨支撑在52.48Near.
从小时线来看,震荡;MACDandKDJ在相对高位形成死叉,目前正试探布林线中轨56.09附近支撑,若下破该支撑,则可能会进一步跌向布林线下轨55.27附近。若油价坚守布林线中轨,并上破布林线上轨56.91附近阻力,则有望打开新的上涨空间。综合来看,今日晚间操作思路上博虎论金个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注56.8-57.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below55.0-55.2Frontline support.
1Crude oil rebounded to56.8-57.0Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target56.0-56.2frontline;
2Crude oil callback to55.0-55.2Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target56.0-56.2frontline;
Bo Hu's Message on Gold:
There is a financial storm outside, and stock disasters are rampant inside; Although the country is healthy, the financial market is not as mature as others, and every move is like a child. Therefore, we only sigh that the people are interested, while the market is ruthless. Bohu Lunjin has entered the market7In his youth, he once covered the sky with one hand and became arrogant for several days, losing everything. He regretted deeply, but his fighting spirit remained steadfast; Reigniting the flames of war, standing firmly on one's feet, although not fully enlightened, one can still glimpse a corner of the road. Not as sincere as Buffy Ma Yun Jia Cheng, self-awareness is good, passing on a teacher and establishing a career for a long time, not extravagant enough to cause big waves again. And I have always been good at helping others, but I cannot ignore the difficulties of others; So cast a net in the market, hoping that those who cast their nets can hear my aspirations.
Bohu Lunjin Warm Reminder:
Investment is not speculation. Seize the right moment, refuse blindness, take a break if there is no time, and cherish every drop of blood and sweat you earn! Investment carries risks, so we need to be cautious when entering the market, grasp the most accurate trend, and make our investments more rational.
Bohu Lunjin Analysis Team Consultation and Guidance Wei//Your words:KD1394(Never stopping on weekends, available for consultation at any time))
Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00
Author's message: May you and I start with words and match our personalities,Trapped in technology, long after kindness, finally character.
Author of this article: Bohu Lunjin