Bo Hu Lun Jin:8.17Analysis of the trend of gold and crude oil next week

　　周末、忙碌了一周，有人收获，有人却要收拾留下的残局，与其捶胸顿足不如好好反思一下自己在市场上失利的原因，只有不断找出自身的不足才能够不断进步，没有人天生就是站在高峰上，每个人都是经历了无数的挫折才能够成功，想成为一个成功的投资者也是一样的道理，反思不足，虚心学习，才能够不断进步。在投资市场并不是谁胜谁负，而是看谁能够走的更长远，只有沉浸其中才能看透这个投资市场的本质，犹豫不决和刚愎自用是最错误的投资心态。
　　
United States7After adjusting the roseCPI月率符合预期；7Monthly retail sales rate recorded0.7%，远超预期。消息一出，美元指数上涨30多点。不过，美国至8month10日当周初请失业金人数升至六周高位，限制了美元指数的涨幅。博虎论金认为小幅走高的经济数据并不意味着美国经济回暖。从本周公布的美债收益率情况来看，美国2Period and10年期国债收益率一度出现倒挂。十年期国债收益率最低跌至1.478%，为三年来最低水平。
　　
　　日线图上看，日线再次收阳，出现二连阳，低点没有破前低，高点破前高，布林带开口向上，金价运行在中上轨，均线多头排列运行在金价下方形成支撑。在趋势指标上，金价运行在零轴上方，多头动能持续放量中。震荡指标上，指标运行在强势区域中，kd指标高位死叉向下运行中。整体表现多头震荡。自信源于实力，人格成就魅力。
　　
　　综合来看笔者认为，就目前来看黄金在早盘反弹遇阻于1527位置，金价出现延续下跌，下方支撑位置考虑在1513位置让后会考虑在1507美元。今日交易上考虑回撤布局多单位置，反弹布局空单为辅，上方关注1530-1535Pressure, following below1503-1507支撑。若金价回撤在1503-1507位置得到支撑大概率上将上探上方1523-1527压力，若意外下破1507将削弱看涨情绪。
　　
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1、回撤在1503-1500区间企稳多，目标看1522-1527，破位上看，止损4dollar
　　
　　2Rebound without breaking1527Empty, look at the target1523-1513，破位下看，止损4dollar
　　
Analysis of International Crude Oil Market Trends
　　
　　中国坚称将对美国加征关税采取反制措施,令中国和美国冒易局势再度升温,加剧其对全球经济增长的负面影响,进而打压原油需求前景,对油价构成压力。但有关伊朗和朝鲜的地缘政治紧张局势以及欧美央行宽松货币政策预期,刺激经济增速,从而限制了油价下行空间。日内原油投资者宜密切留意美国贝克休斯公布的每周石油钻机数,这是油价未来走势的主要推动因素。上周美国石油活跃钻井数减少6Seat to764seat,这是连续六周下降。
　　
　　短线上看；原油当前维持54.0-55.7区域内横盘整理，1小时级别在54位置构建双底，在上涨过程中，这是阶段性企稳信号，所以54位置上肯定是看涨，现在重点关注55.7压力位置能否继续突破，突破则继续测试57高位，否则将继续维持区间内震荡。不过鉴于市场消息面的打压，致使油价短线走跌，所以对于中线来说我们可以选择继续来低多入局。综合来看，操作思路上个人建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方重点关注55.7-56.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below53.7-54.0Frontline support.
　　
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　1Suggestions56.2Stop loss without breaking short56.7, Objective55.7-55.2；
　　
　　2Suggestions53.7Do not break long, stop loss53.2, Objective54.2-55.2；
　　
Tips for Making Orders in Sharp Rising and Falling Markets
　　
　　1Strictly control stop losses and prevent risks. Spot investments can tolerate losses, but losses must be controlled within an acceptable range. Therefore, strictly setting stop losses is the first step for investors to make profits. It is best for investors to set the stop loss at the cost of each transaction3%-10%Within the scope, if the gold price breaks through, immediately close the position and leave the market
　　
　　2Make a good plan and ensure that the profitable troops remain unchanged, with food and grass being the first priority. Investors should first make a comprehensive prediction of today's market trend and scientifically set their profit and loss range before entering the trading market. If there is a profit in an investment, investors should learn to maintain their profit success by gradually withdrawing costs and then using the profit part to play games.
　　
　　3The most important principle of spot investment is to follow the trend. Investors can only make safer profits by following the direction of the market. Of course, this requires investors to accurately judge the future trend of the market. When there is a loss in an investment, the most important thing investors should do is to take stock of their trading mistakes, summarize lessons learned, and prevent mistakes from happening again.
　　
Bo Hu's Message on Gold: As a lone soldier, do you feel like you are walking on thin ice in this financial market and struggling to move forward? If you are tired of unproductive investments and lost in the foggy market; If you suffer losses one after another but feel unwilling. So, it's time to change the status quo. Good birds choose trees to live on, your choices determine your future!
　　
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