Bo Hu Lun Jin:8.8避险推动逼空涨势不言顶，黄金踩位布置节奏单

Hello everyone, I am your old friend Bohu Lunjin


The path of trading is gradual and step-by-step. When you miss the beginning of a trend, there is no need to worry about whether to participate in the end of the trend. Doubt and cowardice are both obstacles to success. Success comes from trying, and even a journey of a thousand miles must be taken first. There is no success without the risk of failure. The strong will make way for you, while the weak will find it difficult to move forward. To fly higher, one must first dive lower. Those who observe the overall situation will not care about the gains and losses of a city or a place. To cultivate oneself with calmness, to cultivate virtue with frugality. Soldiers facing the city are calm and calm, those in danger are able to turn misfortune into good fortune, those who stumble into a desperate situation but survive in a desperate situation, not only need to have the experience of rushing through the sand, but also the magnanimity that must be possessed by those who achieve great things. A person whose immediate interests can blind their eyes is destined to miss even greater opportunities.


　　今日周四，8month8日，属8月第二周。本周以来的要点都出现在及时消息面上，重点关注及时消息面上影响避险潮走势的消息事件。


　　昨晚消息事件较少，不过晚间美股的低开低走，再度让市场恐慌，公布的美国当周原油库存数据大幅上升，更是加深了市场对于全球经济增长放缓的担忧，黄金更是一点就着的状态，直接冲破1500关口再度刷新近期新高1510，一点消息就恐慌的状态，已让黄金看涨状态充斥市场。今晚美盘两个数据发布，本身影响有限，不过一旦数据差于预期，那么被市场过分放大效用进行拉盘洗盘的概率较高，仍需重点关注。


　　数据面上，今日周四，晚间20:30分公布美国当周初请失业金人数（前值和预期都是21.5万人），22:00公布美国6月批发库存月率终值（前值和预期都是0.2%）。晚间两个数据预期持平，需要当心的是数据差于预期的情况下，黄金的过度反应走势，大家知晓。


Technical aspect


　　黄金昨日收出大阳线，整体呈放量上行模式。昨日黄金最高触及1510.4, lowest touch1468.3，开线1469.5，收线1506.6，最大运行区间42.1美金，最终涨幅37.1美金。日线走势上，黄金昨日呈逼空破位的放量上行模式，短期震荡调整的高位1475位置直接被行情拉盘破位，晚间冲破1500关口的上行，意义较大，直接让市场的看涨多头预期再度膨胀，逼空节奏继续延续。今日以来，行情短期虽有调整，不过回撤的幅度有限，整体的调整空间倒是越发积累，这也让后世的行情容易走极端，要么继续逼空上行拉盘，要么回撤拉盘洗盘，当下的交易风控策略尤其重要。


　　波段走势上，黄金昨日呈慢涨模式，整体较为连贯。昨日黄金的涨势节奏，可以分为三个阶段：凌晨换线到亚盘开盘前，行情呈慢涨爬升模式，区间1468——1486之间，整体逼空慢涨，小幅积累；日内的亚欧盘，行情更多的倒是横盘滞涨，区间1490——1484之间，短期连续引线探高，大有构筑顶部之意；不过18点之后，行情继续逼空，小幅刺探1494一带，美盘更是直接拉盘破位，冲击1510一带，整体连贯无回撤，逼空的模式一直都在延续。今日以来，黄金更多的呈高位震荡模式，连续在1490——1506之间上下整理压缩，1490未破之前，空头都很难走出结构性回撤。所以短期可以考虑震荡思路，不过重点仍旧是守位1490位置轻仓布多单，待回撤破位1490之后，再做回撤调整布置。





　　思路对策：


　　黄金连续逼空上行不测高，短期区间1470——1482——1490——1510；当下行情震荡调整，短期可以在1492一带轻仓测多单，目标1500——1504——1510，破位持有；行情回撤破位1488则需转变思路看回撤洗盘了；


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Comprehensive guidance teacher: Bo Hu Lun Jin Micro（KD1394）


Direction guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00

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