Wei Liangchen:10.29盯紧美联储，将释放重大信号?现货黄金能否大涨！

10.29盯紧美联储：将释放重大信号?现货黄金能否大涨！


10month29日（周二）讯距离美联储公布10月利率决议只有不足48个小时了，在黄金高台跳水暂守1490美元之后，美联储决议之夜将成为关键，这或将是黄金价格的突破契机。
[img]https://www.myleguan.com/lf//dict_upload_file_module_3/20191029/jpeg/26350015892753976r97589.jpeg[/img]


周一黄金出现回落，报收阴线。消息面相对平静。市场已经聚焦于本周美联储会议上。目前市场预期降息25个基点，应该是大概率的事件。不过美联储对后期经济的评估和鲍威尔的讲话仍值得期待。因10月以来，李云认为美国经济数据基本面没有明确走坏趋势，且9月份美联储预计年内仅有一次降息。如何自圆其说值得关注。市场更关注，鲍威尔讲话是否有超预期的内容。


盯紧美联储：将释放重大信号?


Early Thursday morning Beijing time2:00，美联储将宣布最新的利率决议，随后02:30，美联储主席鲍威尔将召开新闻发布会。市场普遍预计美联储将在10month30Rihe31日的会议上宣布降息，将联邦基准利率下调25个基点，这将是今年第三次降息。美联储已在今年7Month and9月两次降息。


据芝加哥商品交易所集团(CMEGroup)ofFedWatch工具显示，交易商周一预期10月份降息的机率为95.1%，高于一周前的89.8%。反映投资者对利率政策变化预期的两年期公债收益率上涨1.9Basis points, to1.646%。


不过在美联储是否应该继续降息的问题上，政策制定者存在严重分歧。丹麦盛宝银行(SaxoBank)驻新加坡的全球宏观策略师KayVan-Petersen表示：“美联储降息幷没有那么重要，更重要的是美联储是否会暗示降息步伐和幅度。”此外，市场对美联储利率决议的反应将取决于美联储政策制定者发出的有关未来行动可能性的信号，而不是降息本身，投资者尤其需要关注降息结束时间相关的表述。
[img]https://www.myleguan.com/lf//dict_upload_file_module_3/20191029/jpg/26350048016682377r67256.jpg[/img]


gold4小时单阴受挫后星K线停顿整理，反弹空间较小，有点弱势修正的迹象。今日短线还会伴随惯性的回落，具体看力度大小。技术面，整体来看，日K线仍然处于今年大幅上涨后的高位区间宽幅震荡之中，整体上涨的趋势并未发生大幅的改变。从4小时图短期形态来看，价格回撤之前上涨趋势线位置获得支撑；震荡区间小一点的话，下方1485-1483就是支撑，大一点则是1480-1477的支撑。而上方压力在1497-1499附近。日内区间暂定1500-1480.看盘中具体的空间力度。从价位来看，1490位置是前波价格回撤61.8%位置，属于强支撑区域，因此，日内价格建议回撤下探1490区域逢低参与多头为主。李云建议反弹后在1500下方承压短空，下方靠近1485-1480一带启稳短多。


Suggestions for evening gold operations:


1Rebound1497-1499Short selling, defense1502, Objective1490-1488nearby


2See below1490-1488Go long, defend1477, Objective1498-1500nearby


Those who follow Wei Liangchen know that I have always been very steady in my operations. Many friends have seen my articles related to it, and when they see the orders they have intercepted, I am startled. There is a huge gap between long and short positions, and the losses are quite serious. I stubbornly resist without setting stop losses, just going against the trend. It is really scary to encounter such mediocre teachers. In terms of operation, I have no rules and only rely on hard reasoning without turning back. Isn't this a joke about using the client's funds? Are you afraid if you keep up with such a teacher? Anyway, I was stunned, but I know there are still many friends who are experiencing or starting such situations. When encountering such situations, one must decisively say no in order to turn losses into profits. It's not too late to make up for the lost sheep!
[img]https://www.myleguan.com/lf//dict_upload_file_module_3/20191029/jpg/26350071169210801r672.jpg[/img]


不管你是老手还是新手，资金大小魏亮宸都会尽我所能去帮助你，任何投资都是有风险的，每天只操作布局一两单顺势抓收益就好，风险控制永远第一位，盈利第二，资金有保障收益就会有保证，如果眼中只局限利润，而不计较得失，有时候适得其反，最好的进攻就是防守，如果你认可，或者我能够帮到你，请联系魏亮宸帮你解忧！


One collaboration, lifelong friend! The above article is from the original work of Wei Liangchen. Investment carries risks, and caution is necessary when entering the industry.


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